Thursday, October 1, 2020

Learning the R-Naught (R0) of the Pandemic - Harvard Global Health Institute

Who says Statistics are just numbers? For COVID-19, learning and understanding R0 is important.

An Excerpt from the Article:
"This highlights the inherent complexity and variability of outbreaks. R0 values can be helpful in gauging outbreak severity, but a high R0 value does not guarantee a world-wide spread, or a pandemic. It is a calculation of an average value that is based on estimates of averages. When early R0 values are produced, they should be circulated with care and guidance on how to interpret them. We have seen public alarm around R0 estimates with this current outbreak, which is exactly what we should aim to avoid."














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Oppenheimer and Oscar Economics

This  article  is quite long, but has important modern implications.  Source: Michael Ramirez, The Gazette.